By David K. Shipler
It is so easy for President Trump
and his allies to distract Democrats into skirmishes on the sidelines of the
big game. Yes, it’s outrageous that Attorney General William Barr played spin
doctor on the Mueller report by distorting its content. Yes, it’s even more
outrageous that Barr is defying a Congressional subpoena to be questioned yet
again about why he said what he said about the report.
But what’s really important is what
the report itself says, not what Barr says about it. That’s what Democrats
should be focusing on. For if you read all 448 pages, as every citizen should, you’ll
see a troubling picture emerge of a bizarre, uneducable president who tries to
run the government as if he were the head of a crime syndicate.
He uses his office to manipulate
and intimidate. He lies to his aides, and they lie to him. He grooms himself as
a cult figure whose approval is granted or withheld to the favor or detriment
of acolytes. Some tell him they will obey even as they decide to defy him. He
issues implicit threats (though not of violence, so far), and clearly expects
his underlings to break the law on his behalf. When they do not, they are
deemed “weak” and marked for retribution.
More to the point of the Mueller
investigation, the evidence in the report supports an assessment that Trump
did, indeed, attempt to obstruct justice in at least two of the cases
investigated, and possibly in another five. Mueller stops short of making that
judgment explicitly. But since his report is like a legal textbook on the
conditions required to make the charge, and his evidence on both sides of each question
is spread out dispassionately in precise detail, even a layman can see the
obvious.
This is what Democrats should be
talking about. This is what they should be holding hearings on. They don’t need
Barr to pillory, and they don’t need the “unredacted” version of the report.
There is plenty in the public pages if anybody bothers to wade through the dry
prose.
At the report’s end, Mueller writes
something akin to a legal brief, rebutting arguments by Trump’s lawyers that obstruction
statutes are too narrow and the Constitution too broad in its grant of
executive power to permit a president to be charged for such behavior. With
citations of Supreme Court opinions and discussions of legislative intent,
Mueller has produced a document ready-made for a prosecutor wishing to defend
any appeal against either criminal charges or impeachment.
The national interest might have been
better served if Mueller had not punted on the bottom-line question of whether
he thinks Trump tried to obstruct justice. “We determined not to make a traditional
prosecutorial judgment,” he writes, content with an approach that responsible
journalists know as a kind of forensic exercise: on the one hand this, on the
other hand that. Let the readers make up their own minds. “While this report
does not conclude that the President committed a crime,” Mueller says, “it also
does not exonerate him.”
Yet the evidence he lays out so
impartially draws you to a conclusion in almost every instance. Mueller defines
the three conditions that must be met for an obstruction charge: first, an obstructive
act likely to interfere with an investigation; second, a nexus between the act
and an official proceeding such as a grand-jury or law-enforcement
investigation; and third, an intent to impede the investigation.
(Late today, more than 450 former federal prosecutors issued a letter concluding that Trump would have been charged with obstruction had he not been president.)
The two Trump activities that appear
to satisfy all three conditions involve his praise and hints of a pardon for Paul
Manafort, his former campaign manager, and his efforts to limit the scope of
the special counsel’s investigation to future elections, excluding 2016.
Trump frequently used the Mafia
term “flip” to disparage insiders who turn state’s evidence, and Manafort won
Trump’s accolades for refusing to “break.” By contrast, Trump called Michael
Cohen, his former lawyer, a “rat” for cooperating with the special counsel.
“There is evidence that the President's
actions had the potential to influence Manafort's decision whether to cooperate
with the government,” Mueller says in his analysis of whether Trump committed
an obstructive act. The report notes that while Manafort pleaded guilty in one
case and entered a cooperation agreement, he lied to investigators after Trump “suggested
that a pardon was a more likely possibility if Manafort continued not to
cooperate with the government.” Further, Trump’s public statements during Manafort’s
trial in another case, “including during jury deliberations, also had the
potential to influence the trial jury.”
A nexus with an ongoing
investigation clearly existed, Mueller finds, and the intent condition was also
satisfied: “Evidence concerning the President's conduct towards Manafort
indicates that the President intended to encourage Manafort to not cooperate
with the government.” Sections on Roger Stone, Trump’s adviser, are blacked
out, because his prosecution is ongoing.
Trump’s attempts to limit the
investigation’s scope also appear in the report as having met the obstruction
law’s three conditions. This came about as Trump tried to get Attorney General
Jeff Sessions to scale back the investigation to future elections, although
Sessions had recused himself. Oddly, Trump picked as his messenger Corey
Lewandowski, a private citizen and former campaign manager. Lewandowski never
delivered the request.
The attempt “would qualify as an obstructive
act if it would naturally obstruct the investigation and any grand jury
proceedings that might flow from the inquiry,” Mueller writes, stopping short
of giving the obvious answer. Since a grand jury investigation had become
public knowledge at the time, the nexus to an official proceeding would exist
if limiting the investigation “would have the natural and probable effect of
impeding that grand jury proceeding.” That sounds like a no-brainer.
Finally, the report is crystal
clear on intent: “Substantial evidence indicates that the President 's effort to
have Sessions limit the scope of the Special Counsel's investigation to future
election interference was intended to prevent further investigative scrutiny of
the President's and his campaign's conduct.”
Mueller’s evidence places other
episodes in a gray area between probable and iffy. Among those, the case against
Trump seeming strongest is his repeated demand that Mueller be removed. Since
the investigation would have continued anyway, “a factfinder would need to
consider whether the act had the potential to delay further action in the investigation,
chill the actions of any replacement Special Counsel, or otherwise impede the investigation.”
The other two conditions—the nexus and the intent—appear to have been satisfied
in Trump’s desire to get rid of Mueller.
Trump’s actions portrayed by the report as less
certain to qualify as obstruction of justice include his appeal to James Comey,
the FBI director, to lay off Michael Flynn, the national security adviser; his
dismissal of Comey; Trump’s repeated efforts to get Sessions to “unrecuse”
himself and take over the investigation; and his orders to White House Counsel
Don McGahn to deny that he tried to fire Mueller. Various caveats and questions
are raised in all these cases, although a layman could be forgiven for seeing
fire where there is smoke.
The report is refreshing because it
embraces ambiguity where relevant, leaves room for debate on each of these
episodes, and is full of solid research and sound reasoning, a rare display
these days of intellectual honesty and impartial integrity.
Yet even without a final, ringing
declaration of judgment, its cascading evidence provides a cumulative
indictment of Trump—if not criminally, then in the broader sense of the term, as
a president incapable and unfit, ignorant or indifferent to the law and the Constitution,
unwilling to learn, and thoroughly incompetent to govern in a system that restrains
authoritarianism. The Democrats should forget Barr and concentrate on what the
report tells us about Trump.