By David K. Shipler
Jared
Kushner’s economic proposal for the Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza
Strip is comprehensive, bold, and visionary, full of noble goals in commerce,
trade, agriculture, manufacturing, road-building, local electricity production,
water supply, education, vocational training, health care, women in the
workforce, and the arts. Titled “Peace to Prosperity,” it imagines the West
Bank as a trading center akin to Singapore or Dubai. Its calls for judicial
independence, dependable contract law, anti-corruption measures, and
administrative transparency that would be hailed by any “good-government” advocates.
It envisions some $50 billion in international grants, loans, investments, and
global expertise.
This
would be nothing to sneer at if it related to reality. But to take it
seriously, you have to play Let’s Pretend. So let’s pretend that the West Bank and
Gaza constitute a normal country, independent but poor, with no Israeli
overlords, and free to accept whatever outside assistance it chooses. Let’s
pretend that the Palestinian rulers control their own borders so that people and
goods can move easily, as Kushner recommends. Let’s pretend that West Bank land
is all under Palestinian authority, rather than being fragmented into
leopard-spot jurisdictions favoring expanding Israeli settlements and security
concerns. And let’s pretend that the radical group Hamas no longer controls
Gaza with a policy of relating to Israel by rockets alone.
In that fictional environment, Kushner’s plan
is utopian in the best sense of the word. The document is silent on the
longstanding Israeli-Palestinian conflict, so depending on how charitable a
reader wants to be, Kushner’s effort is either ignorant or presumptuous, either
blind to the political resolution that would be required before his proposals
can be implemented, or based on an assumption that a resolution will have
occurred.
It should be obvious that this pretty
economic dream cannot be realized without the political dream of Palestinian independence.
The point could have been made dramatically by the Palestinian leadership,
which missed an opportunity by boycotting the conference in Bahrain where the
plan was presented. Also absent was Israel, which would have to make significant
concessions.
It’s unclear exactly what Kushner
and the Trump administration wanted or expected out of this proposal. President
Trump displays a belief that money is the pivot point of human behavior, as in
his promise to Kim Jong-un of North Korea that his country “would be very rich”
if it relinquished nuclear weapons in exchange for aid and investment.
So, did the Trump family think that
dangling prosperity in front of the Palestinians might bribe them into a
conciliatory political posture? If that’s the case, Kushner and his colleagues
have no grasp of the dynamics of Palestinian nationalism. While economic
hardships weigh on many Palestinians, especially in the deep poverty of Gaza, the
long-running conflict with Israel has been a territorial dispute fueled by the
clash of historical narratives, national aspirations, and religious extremism
on both sides.
When Trump recognized Jerusalem as
Israel’s capital by moving the US embassy there, he foreclosed an American role
in mediating impartially between Israel and the Palestinians, who also covet
Jerusalem as their capital. When his ambassador, David Friedman, supported the
prospect of Israel’s partial annexation of the West Bank—and given his support
of Jewish settlements there—he slammed the door on Palestinian regard for the
sincerity of any US proposal.
Indeed, ProPublica reported a year
and a half ago that the Kushner Companies Charitable Foundation had contributed
to the West Bank settlement of Beit El, from which militant Israelis harass and
attack Palestinians. Significantly, Kushner’s economic plan makes no mention of
the settlements, which have intruded on Palestinian grazing land and uprooted
vineyards and olive groves. It laments the small amount of agriculture on the
West Bank and calls for Palestinians’ “access to more land.” Is this a coded
statement of opposition to Jewish settlements, or is it just plain hypocrisy?
Similarly, the plan’s repeated
recommendations for the relatively free movement of people and goods across
borders with Jordan, Egypt, and Israel could be read as a challenge to the
intricate, onerous checkpoints and barriers that Israel employs around the West
Bank and Gaza. Kushner envisions vibrant Palestinian production and exports
with outside assistance to “develop beneficial free trade agreements.” He praises
the talents of the Palestinian diaspora and urges technical help from
Palestinians living abroad—who would probably not be allowed in under current
Israeli policy. The plan also revives the old, abortive idea of a land route
open to Palestinians, through Israel, between Gaza and the West Bank. Is he
pressing Israel for fundamental change, or is he anticipating such a relaxation
of tensions that fears of terrorism would no longer be an issue?
Ever since Israel captured the West
Bank from Jordan and the Gaza Strip from Egypt in the 1967 war, Palestinians
have found themselves largely stymied by Israeli authorities in developing their own
substantial economic base. In the early 1980s, some international non-profit
organizations were barred by the Israeli military government in the territories
from giving seed money to embryonic manufacturing enterprises. Farming declined
as land was confiscated and exports into Israel were restricted to curtail
competition with Israeli producers. That threw more and more Palestinians into
Israel proper for wage labor, where the pay is much higher than in the
territories. But after Palestinian terrorist attacks prompted Israel to close
and restrict border crossings, the commute became virtually impossible from
Gaza and difficult from the West Bank.
The West Bank economy has improved
somewhat, but whether Israel will permit or encourage the scale of independent Palestinian entrepreneurship and international trade proposed by
Kushner is an open question.
And whether a Palestinian
leadership would welcome the Kushner approach is also a question, given that it
envisions a model of minimal government regulation and maximal capital enterprise,
plus tax reform, that follows conservative Republican ideology. He urges strong
property rights and a central registration of land ownership (many Palestinians
have no deeds, which has made their land vulnerable to takeover by Israeli settlers).
He suggests that a Palestinian government should privatize certain services.
The plan advocates massive funding
in areas where his father-in-law’s administration has already cut off American
aid. Is this another bit of hypocrisy, or a statement of dissent? And what of
these statements, which might be applied as a counterpoint to Trump’s own behavior
in office:
“Good governance requires rigorous
systems that empower people to hold institutions accountable.”
“Robust civil society institutions
and a free press are important parts of any well-functioning democracy.
Preserving and expanding these important institutions within the West Bank and
Gaza will require new laws and practices that protect their independence and
improve their capacity.”
Hear! Hear!
It must be fun to write policy proposals without feeling the need to ground them in reality. Perhaps he ought to try his hand at fiction.
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