By David K. Shipler
“When
you strike at a king, you must kill him.” So said Ralph Waldo Emerson, as
recalled by Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr. It is an admonition that ought to be
placed as a screen saver on the computers of all the eager Democrats in the
House of Representatives who are licking their chops at the prospect of impeaching
President Trump. A king who survives an attempt on his throne can be wild with
vengeance, especially when backed by zealous toadies and street fighters.
If the
report by special counsel Robert Mueller turns out to be an anti-climax after
nearly two years of hype, Republicans who have circled the wagons around Trump will
probably remain in place. As long as they don’t see Trump as a political
liability, he’s safe, for impeachment is a legal-political hybrid. Without a
smoking gun linking him explicitly to Russian manipulation of the 2016
election, hardly any House Republicans would vote for articles of impeachment,
and the Republican-led Senate would fall far short of the two-thirds needed for
conviction. The Republican Party of 2019 is a very different animal from the
Republican Party of 1974, when its leaders, Senator Barry Goldwater among them,
told Richard Nixon to resign or be impeached and convicted.
Therefore, two other scenarios for dumping
Trump seem more conceivable:
1. A Democratic electoral sweep in 2020
decisive enough to force the Republican Party into a cowering fit of reform.
This is the preferable outcome. If
Democrats take the White House and the Senate, and keep or increase their
majority in the House, Republicans might regroup as a more centrist,
responsibly conservative movement that conducts serious debates over serious
issues. Instead of rightist radicalism that favors the destruction of
government, a reborn Republican Party might try to govern on behalf of a
broader array of Americans.