Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts.
--Daniel Patrick Moynihan

November 2, 2026

Israel's Opportunity

                                                         By David K. Shipler

            It finally happened. Enough Arab citizens of Israel, who make up about 20 percent of the population, voted in consolidated blocs last week to gain leverage over who governs the country. Now the question is whether Jewish leaders will let them into a ruling coalition, and whether Arab parties want to join. The answer will define the scope of Israel’s democracy.

This is a rare moment of opportunity for Israel, perhaps, to begin to redeem some of the moral authority it lost in Gaza and reverse its growing repute as a pariah state. It has long touted itself as the only democracy in the Middle East, but it has not been a full democracy for its Arab citizens, whose elected members of the Knesset, Israel’s parliament, have rarely been welcomed into the halls of executive power.

Arabs in Israel belong to families that stayed in Israel during the country’s 1948 war of independence. They neither fled the fighting nor were expelled by the Jewish forces. While many now prefer to be called Palestinians, their Israeli residence and citizenship differentiate them from the Palestinian Arabs in Gaza and the West Bank—territories conquered in the 1967 war—who live under Israeli rule but cannot vote in Israeli elections. Those inside Israel, who can vote, have faced decades of frustration.

With no single party ever winning a majority in the Knesset, every government has relied on coalition-building across a range of religious and political affiliations. But Arab-led parties have been included only in Israel’s founding government led by David Ben-Gurion in 1949, and then briefly in 2021. In accepting two Arab members of the Democratic List of Nazareth (one of whom fought with Jews in Israel’s War of Independence), Ben-Gurion aimed “to show that Jews and Arabs could coexist in the new State of Israel,” writes Zach Rothbart, a journalist in Jerusalem.

 Today, however, Arab parties are widely derided as threats to the state’s security and Jewish identity, so vilified that political rivals have been willing to join together in Arab-free “unity” governments or settle for new elections instead of embracing Arab legislators as fellow cabinet ministers. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is claiming without evidence that Arab voters were bribed by foreign entities, that the election was “stolen by Arab parties that support terrorism and the elimination of the Jewish state,” and that any Jewish party inviting them into a coalition government will facilitate the “Islamization of Israel.” His son, Yair, called Arab citizens the second-largest threat after a nuclear-armed Iran.

            The current backroom wheeling and dealing among the parties will be a lesson to Arabs on whether voting is worthwhile. After decades of boycotts, alienation, and fragmentation, they surged to the polls out of “frustration and fear” according to The Times of Israel, and their two parties won a record 19 seats in the 120-member Knesset. (Netanyahu’s Likud won 27; the party of his main opponent, Gadi Eisenkot, won 21.)

Arab political leaders campaigned hard to raise hopes that the system might work for them; the highest turnout in Israel was in the Arab town of Sakhnin, at 87%. If that hope is dashed during the Jewish parties’ negotiations, cynicism is likely to deepen and the cause of democratic pluralism will suffer.

            Netanyahu surely won’t partner with the Arabs, and if he did, he’d lose essential support from Arab-hating parties farther to the right. If Eisenkot goes with Arabs, he and his supporting parties are like to pay a political price, especially in light of the sharpened anti-Arab feelings in a country traumatized by the Hamas attack and hostage-taking of October 7, 2023.

To be an Arab citizen of Israel is to suffer crosscurrents of uncomfortable identities: in Israel, disdained as an Arab; in the larger Arab world, disdained as an Israeli. Polls show large majorities yearning for complete participation in Israeli society yet experiencing discrimination. They are simultaneously apart and separate. Many cannot in good conscience sing the Israeli national anthem, in which “the Jewish soul yearns . . . An eye gazes toward Zion.” Some stand silently when it’s played, some stay seated, some walk away.

Yet polling by the Israel Democracy Institute shows most Arab citizens regard Israel as “a good place to live,” (62%, compared with 66% of Jews); think Arabs should integrate and be part of Israeli society (90%, compared with 50.5% of Jews); and are certain that they want their children to continue living in Israel (66%, compared with 55% of Jews).

 Dramatic Jewish-Arab differences appear in other areas: Are Arabs discriminated against? Yes, say 82% of Arab respondents and 30.5% of Jews. Is it better for Jews and Arabs to live separately? Yes, say 25% of Arabs and 48.5% of Jews. For security, is it okay for the state to monitor what citizens post online? Yes, say 47% of Arabs and 62% of Jews. Are you proud to be Israeli? Yes, say 44% of Arabs and 83% of Jews.

The percentages of people who say they’re afraid to express their political opinions rose from 2016 to 2025, from 45% to 70% of Arabs, and from 37% to 53% of Jews, a measure of the intimidation felt across the society since the October 7 assault.

Strong agreement that “the use of violence for political ends is never justified” was registered by 49% of Arabs and 68.5% of Jews. But a significant minority of Arab respondents, 26%, disagreed strongly or “somewhat” with that rejection of political violence, compared with just 8.5% of Jews.

Although both Arab parties condemned the Hamas attack, the Joint List, which won 11 seats, has called Israel’s massive retaliatory war in Gaza “genocide,” and the status of Palestinians on the West Bank “apartheid.” Its leaders say that they would vote to support an opposition-led government headed by Eisenkot but do not want to be in the cabinet. The more moderate Arab-led party, Ra’am, won 8 seats with a Jewish ex-cop as second on its list; its Muslim leader, Mansour Abbas has accepted Israel as a Jewish state and would presumably join a coalition if invited.

 However, only 27% of Jews favor Arab parties being in the government, according to a survey last year. To override that sentiment would take a brave gamble by Eisenkot and other opposition leaders, not the kind of courage usually demonstrated by politicians. Therefore, the stage is set for the opportunity to become a missed opportunity.