By David K. Shipler
The deep
paradox in the Arab-Israeli conflict is the immorality of each side’s moral
certitude. Each is convinced of its righteousness.
But the high ground of
righteousness has been completely flattened in the last year, beginning with the
intimate atrocities of October 7 by the Palestinian movement Hamas, then with
the remotely inflicted atrocities by Israel. The only shred of morality left is
whatever attaches to victimhood.
Not that
wars are moral enterprises. Not that this conflict has ever been ethical or conducted
within Queensberry rules. Since modern Israel’s founding in 1948, the struggle has
been nasty, grinding, and brutalizing. Still, it respected certain boundaries.
Forty years ago, the Palestinians had not yet adopted suicide bombers as a
standard weapon against Israeli civilians, nor had they sexually assaulted and
tormented young Israeli women. Israel had not sent tanks and fighter jets
against Palestinian residents of Gaza and the West Bank, nor had Jewish
settlers so systematically driven Palestinians from their West Bank villages.
And non-Arab actors such as Iran had not directly attacked Israel.
But now,
as Tom Friedman has said, so many red lines have been crossed that “you kind of get used to it.
And at the end of the day, there are no more red lines. And when that happens,
watch out.”
Both
Israeli and Palestinian societies are diverse and fluid. Neither is monolithic;
both contain moderate citizens embracing coexistence. Yet the most radical and
hateful among them have been propelled into power by decades of strife. Palestinian
leaders see all Israelis, including children, as potential soldiers. Israeli
leaders in the current government—the most extreme in Israel’s history—conflate
all Palestinians in Gaza with Hamas, one reason that Israel is willing to bomb
whole buildings and kill many civilians to get one commander. On both sides, those
at the top seem to have no moral brakes.
Their military tactics have been devastating to non-combatants. Abhorrent methods of warfare have been normalized: sadistic killings and hostage-taking, food deprivation and massive bombings, indiscriminate rocketing, assassinations, exploding pagers designed to murder and maim even while innocent bystanders suffer. Hamas has embedded its fighters among civilians in their homes and schools and hospitals, using innocents as human shields. Undeterred, the Israelis have fought through those so-called shields, mostly with air strikes and artillery, killing and wounding tens of thousands, impeding food supplies, and shattering medical facilities.
Everything is hurtling backwards.
The slender areas of common ground have been eroded. More than thirty years
after Israel finally considered the possibility of a Palestinian state, current
Israeli leaders are making every effort to slam that door and lock it—a hardline
position popular among Israelis now that the Hamas attack has demonstrated what
Palestinians would do with statehood. More than thirty years after the
Palestine Liberation Organization finally recognized the Jewish state’s right
to exist, Hamas in Gaza wants Israel obliterated.
So does Iran—or, at least, Iranians
with keys to the weapons—so it has armed Sunni Palestinian Muslims through
Hamas, and Shia Muslims through Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthis in Yemen. And twice
in the last six months, Iran has attacked with hundreds of missiles, nearly all
successfully intercepted by advanced defense systems but setting the stage for Israeli
retaliation.
It’s hard to take seriously Iran’s
claims to be supporting the Palestinians. It has invented its animosity toward Israel to drive an absolutist
Islamic ideology, a religio-nationalist thrust to dominate the region.
By contrast, the
Palestinian-Israeli conflict is real and largely secular, founded on an actual
clash of claims to the same narrow strip of land between the Jordan River and
the Mediterranean. Religion is a thread in this tapestry, more prominent than
decades ago, but polls show no more than 10 to 12 percent of Palestinians
endorsing Hamas’s goal of rule by Muslim religious law.
Hamas nonetheless ran Gaza
following Israel’s voluntary military withdrawal in 2006. Israel sealed it into
that small territory with high-tech fences and cameras and other monitoring
equipment, then--despite occasional rocket attacks--grew complacent that the
hostility was caged and contained. In an astonishing breakdown more than a year
ago, Israel’s intelligence and military hierarchy ignored alarming reports by
young women soldiers assigned as field observers that Hamas seemed to be
training and maneuvering for an assault. They were not taken seriously by male
superiors. When fighters crossed into Israel, the army was almost nowhere to be
seen as some 1200 people were killed and about 250 taken hostage, including
seven women from that intelligence unit. (The Washington Post reports the same disrespect currently for unarmed female observers on the border with
Lebanon.)
The failure traumatized Israelis
who thought their security apparatus kept them safe. It reactivated the sense
of vulnerability in a Jewish population burdened by its history of persecution.
If there is any lesson here, it is
fairly simple: Trauma does not usually encourage risk-taking. The key to
getting Israel to compromise is getting Israel to feel safe. Insecurity will
never induce accommodation. So the Hamas attack and now Iran’s entry into the
order of battle have hardened the country and removed restraint. A fear has
infected Israel that its very existence is at stake. The response has not been
compromise, but ruthlessness.
Last October 8, even before Israel began
its devastating destruction of Gaza following the Hamas attack, Hezbollah in
Lebanon began peppering northern Israel with rockets, driving 60,000 to 70,000
Israelis from their homes, making them internal refugees. For a year, the
border area has been an array of ghost towns, according to a friend of mine
living about 80 kilometers away, with farmers venturing in and out hastily to
tend their orchards.
Consider this striking fact: If an
equivalent percentage of the US population were run out of swaths of our
southern border, the displaced would total nearly 2.5 million. Imagine the
American reaction if areas were depopulated so thoroughly for so long. Would we
have any moral brakes?
We should, but we are hardly a model. Nor are
the Palestinians or the Lebanese or the Iranians. The whirlwind of Israel’s
forever war spins on.
Very good post, David. There has been a terrible escalation of brutality over the years and a matching decline in the options for peace. I think it was the second Intifada, the Intifada of suicide bombs, that destroyed the Israeli left, the peace movement and the October 7th terrorist attack (which to me is the third Intifada) certainly erased for years to come whatever shred of empathy for Palestinians may have existed in the Israeli population. The death of over 40,000 Palestinians in Gaza will certainly generate increased hatred for Israel among the survivors and families together with support for Hamas, or whoever follows after Hamas. Israel’s apparent willingness to expand the Gaza war to Lebanon and Iran suggests a wider war than perhaps they have ever fought, with increasingly exhausted reservists and rising condemnation in the world. It is hard to imagine how much worse it could get, but it certainly looks as if it is spiraling even further in that direction. The Netanyahu government ignores the Americans, hoping for a sympathetic Trump presidency, something, of course, he may get. I am afraid we are way past the point where moral brakes are available. Everyone seems inured to suffering, focusing on revenge or punishment, with no thought to the costs or to the future.
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