By David K. Shipler
It’s nice
for Egypt’s new government, led by the Muslim Brotherhood, that the United
States has handcuffed itself by refusing to deal directly with Hamas. And
perhaps it’s just as well, since Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi has more
influence with Hamas than Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would. Plus, he
gets to play a pivotal role in the eternally exasperating Israeli-Palestinian
conflict. Lucky him.
But it’s
not so great for American interests that the “terrorist” label, which the U.S.
government has imposed on Hamas, carries such a broad set of taboos as to
restrict Washington’s flexibility in a crisis.
Hamas employs terrorism,
obviously—witness today’s bus bombing in Tel Aviv, the random rocketing of Israeli
civilians—but it was also elected to govern Gaza, which Israel voluntarily left
to the Palestinian residents in 2005. Denying Hamas the symbol of legitimacy it
would gain through contact with American officials may be morally satisfying,
but it has about as much impact on reality as the U.S. embargo of Cuba.
There was an opportunity when Hamas
came to power in 2007 to swallow hard, defy Israel’s demand that the group be
isolated, and come to terms with the unpleasant fact that our favored
candidates don’t always win elections. We have done that with Egypt now,
because Egypt is too big and important for there to be any other choice. And if
Islamists gain elsewhere in the Arab world, as they are likely to, we will need
to suck it up, tough it out, just deal, or be increasingly isolated ourselves.
In garnering diplomatic symbols, the
leaders of Hamas look pretty clever right up to the moment they get themselves
blown up. Taking the measure of the Arab Spring, they provoked this clash with
Israel. Surely they’ve had enough experience to know that Israel wouldn’t sit
on its hands while rockets rained down. So, timing it well, they triggered an
Israeli onslaught to test Egypt’s post-dictatorship and to mobilize charades of
support from elsewhere—Qatar, Turkey, the Arab League, whose members would
always rather focus on the problems of Palestinians over the problems of their
own citizens.
Never
before has Gaza been visited by such legions of Arab leaders, who have now
conferred on Hamas that coveted emblem of legitimacy so assiduously withheld by
Washington. This probably diminishes the allure of U.S. recognition for Hamas, but
it doesn’t eliminate American leverage, should the Obama administration be
creative enough to engage Hamas in hard-nosed bargaining.
Contrary to
what Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and most of his countrymen would
undoubtedly say, direct American contact with Hamas would not be bad for
Israel. It might not be good, either, but it certainly wouldn’t worsen the
situation, so it’s worth a try.
As comments
in the last week indicate, Israel still has a geopolitically old-fashioned
notion about military deterrence. It has long exacted brutal punishment on
neighboring countries that fail to prevent their territories from being used as
launching pads for terrorism. As a result, Jordan and Egypt had quiet borders
with Israel for years before they had formal peace treaties. The Syrian
frontier with Israel has also been mostly frozen by a tense peace for decades,
despite the lack of a treaty. After a couple of shells were fired into Israeli
territory recently, the Israelis send a couple of reminders back into Syria to
reinforce the quiet.
But the
strategy works only where a government rules and has a stake it wants to
preserve. It was ineffective against Lebanon following the country’s civil war,
when the central government in Beirut could no longer reach into the southern
border areas, essentially ceding control to local militias and, eventually, the
Palestine Liberation Organization.
Nor does Hamas
seem to regard its stake in Gaza as worthy of defending by keeping the peace.
The task of Israel and the international community, including the United States
and the Arab world, is to help create in Gaza a stake worth preserving. It is
hard to see how the U.S. can do that without engaging with the nominal government
there, no matter how reprehensible. Otherwise, we will be depending wholly on
Egypt’s President Morsi, who just helped negotiate his first cease-fire. He may
get plenty of practice at this.
Finally, here
is an interesting bit of history: Islamist movements in Gaza were not always
anathema to Israel. In March 1981, I was told by the Israeli military governor
there, Brig. Gen. Yitzhak Segev, that he had been instructed to give Israeli
government funds to mosques and religious schools as counterweights to the
secular P.L.O. The reason was that the P.L.O. advocated a Palestinian state, an
aspiration that, at the time, Israel saw as deeply threatening. (He got in
trouble with his superiors for telling me this.)
Segev had been Israel’s military
attache in Iran before the Islamic revolution, and he clearly believed that the
enemy of my enemy is my friend. Those mosques and religious schools became the
fertile ground of the Muslim Brotherhood, and then of Hamas. So here’s another aphorism
he might have considered: Be careful what you wish for.
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