By David K. Shipler
As terrible as Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine will be for Ukrainians, it also spells suffering for Russians, who
cannot shake their own society’s paranoid, authoritarian traditions. Long gone
is the modicum of pluralistic politics attempted briefly under Mikhail
Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin. Vanished is the relatively relaxed acceptance of
multilateral interests in “the near abroad,” as Russia calls its European
neighbors. Now, as if reaffirming its tragic history, Russia is firmly back
into autocratic form under Vladimir Putin, with its attendant xenophobia, insularity,
and belligerence.
For all its bigness and might,
Russia has a thin skin, easily penetrated by slights and humiliation. There
have been plenty of those inflicted by the United States and Western Europe,
most dramatically in breaking promises from the early 1990s to refrain from
expanding NATO. But even with that, Putin’s pugnacious sense of victimization
runs far beyond reality. It depends on a demonization of the outside world as
vitriolic as in Communist times. It depends on a vertical flow of power as
dictatorial as the czars’.
Putin’s raging, wounded speech
February 21 setting the stage for war brought back a memory from the 1977 Soviet
Union, when a Moscow police lieutenant stopped a West German television crew
from filming the smoke-damaged exterior of the Rossiya Hotel after a fire that
killed at least twenty. The reporter asked why. The
officer explained, “We do not want to let foreigners laugh at our
misfortune.”
The remark offered a telling insight. To imagine that
foreigners were eager to mock Russia over a deadly fire must have required
extraordinary self-torment, a loneliness of unfathomable pain. There is every
indication, 45 years later, that Russia’s leadership remains stuck in that state
of mind.
The sense of persecution echoes into Putin’s current remarks.
Ukraine “has been reduced to a colony [of NATO] with a puppet
regime,” the Russian
president declared. It “intends to create its own nuclear weapons,”
and “Ukraine’s Western patrons may help it acquire these weapons to create
yet another threat to our country.” Its policy is “to root out
the Russian language and culture and promote assimilation.” It
is subjecting ethnic Russians to “horror and genocide” in Ukraine’s Donbass
region, which—he neglected to mention—was being wracked by an eight-year civil
war that he launched and fueled. Those crimes, he said, were being ignored by
“the so-called civilized world, which our Western colleagues proclaimed
themselves the only representatives of.” He called Ukraine’s democratic
movement, which overthrew the pro-Moscow government in 2014, “Neanderthal and
aggressive nationalism and neo-Nazism.”
These dystopian fantasies about Western designs on Russia’s pride and security make a volatile chemistry. Whether he believes them or not, he uses a technique once described by a Soviet professor as characterizing sophisticated propaganda: “a truth, a truth, a truth and then a lie.”
Putin mixes truth and falsehood. His list of grievances
include the real NATO expansion, the imaginary “support for terrorists in the
North Caucasus,” George W. Bush’s real withdrawal from the anti-ballistic
missile treaty, and “the disregard for our security demands and concerns.” In
sum, the Russian president asked, “Why? What is all this about, what is the
purpose? All right, you do not want to see us as friends or allies, but why
make us an enemy?”
Russia is not a carbon copy of the Soviet Union. Small
anti-war demonstrations broke out in Moscow and other cities after the Ukraine invasion,
with protesters quickly arrested, live on CNN. In Communist days, in the
unlikely event of such a demonstration, no overt broadcast would have been
allowed.
Still, the Russian press has been largely stifled, dissidents
jailed and murdered, and opposition candidates barred from ballots. The
legislature has become as supine as the Communist Supreme Soviet, voting
mechanically for Putin’s agenda.
Russian reformers have been unable to free their society from
its suspicion of disorder, the lust for a strong hand at the top, the distrust
of foreigners, the ethnocentrism, the fear of encirclement, the jealous
secrecy, the mixed inferiority/superiority complex, and the twisting of
history. These are the currents that buoy Putin and his circle of ultra-nationalists
now embarked on the most dangerous game seen in the heart of Europe since the
end of World War II.
Significantly, that list of beliefs overlapped both left-wing
Communist and right-wing anti-Communist constituencies in Soviet times. In the
1970s, a semi-dissident undercurrent known colloquially as Russian nationalists
harbored anti-Communist views yet shared most of the Communist Party’s
attitudes about the West and democracy. They spurned Marxist ideology but
embraced dictatorship. Their most celebrated voice, Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn,
declared in 1973: “Russia is authoritarian. Let it remain so, and let us no
longer try to change that.” Those who run the country now, even former
Communists like Putin, are heirs to that Russian nationalism of decades ago.
The top-down
decision-making structure, rebuilt and fortified by Putin after the Soviet
Union’s collapse, appears to leave him free from checks and balances as he
executes war. If there is politics in the Kremlin, it is hidden and muted.
The difficulty of creating democracy was expected. In 1990, the
waning days of the Soviet Union, after relatively free elections a year earlier,
a member of the Duma, munching on hors d’oeuvres in the legislature’s buffet,
offered me one of those delicious jokes that Russians loved, but one salted
with sadness:
Legislator No. 1: Do you think
we’ll ever have a democracy like Sweden’s?
Legislator No. 2: Not a chance.
No. 1: Why not?
No. 2: We don’t have enough Swedes.
Previously
published by the Washington
Monthly
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