By David K. Shipler
There
is a whiff of familiarity in the promised American withdrawal from Afghanistan.
The parallels are uncanny, bringing to memory my one brief foray to the
country, in the spring of 1988, as Soviet troops prepared to leave after nearly
nine years of bloody warfare that ended in their defeat. Their departure opened
the way for a fundamentalist Islamic movement to take power, now poised to take
power once again.
“One
week from now, I’m going home,” Pvt. Yuri Moshnikov told me then, a grin
lighting up his face. He was in a bush hat and light khakis and leaned casually
against the gate of a base outside Kabul. Then the smile faded. He had lost
friends during combat in Kandahar. “This war is evil,” he said bravely—bravely,
for freedom of speech was not established in the Soviet Army. “No one needs
this war. Afghanistan doesn’t need it. We don’t need it.” Yet, he continued, “I
fulfilled my duty.”
Defeat in Afghanistan comes gradually,
like a slow realization. For the Americans, it has taken nearly twenty years as
mission creep evolved into mission impossible. For the Russians, it was spread
by the US-supported mujahideen, the Islamist forces that received weapons from
the CIA via the Pakistanis. These included shoulder-launched Stinger
anti-aircraft missiles, so deadly that when I flew into Kabul from Moscow
aboard an Aeroflot passenger jet, we had to spiral down tightly in a
falling-leaf approach while Soviet helicopters whirled around us firing flares
to deflect any heat-seeking Stingers heading our way. For a guy with a US
passport, being defended by the Soviet military against American weapons felt truly
bizarre.
It was also odd, especially in
retrospect, for the United States to be arming the wrong side, the side that oppressed
women and barred girls from going to school. That side was the one that morphed
into the Taliban, which harbored Al Qaeda, which struck on September 11, 2001,
which prompted the United States to invade in order to—yes—oust the Taliban,
the younger generation of fundamentalists who ruled the country with religious
totalitarianism.
Pretty soon, they are going to be back. President Trump wanted out, so in a rare spasm of good sense he hired the skilled Afghan-American diplomat Zalmay Khalilzad to negotiate a deal with the Taliban. But the agreement is turning out to be reminiscent of the Paris accords, which covered the US departure from Vietnam, leaving South Vietnam to fight and lose alone, as the Afghan government is likely to do as well.